Showing posts with label cooling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cooling. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Planet Earth Does Not "Lose" Ice

Breaking news: planet Earth does not "lose" ice or water.  Ice either melts into water and is stored in the oceans, lakes, rivers, atmosphere or underground reservoirs.  When ice is not melting, water is being added to glaciers as snow and ice.  This cycle of cooling and warming, melting and freezing, has been going on essentially since the creation of the Earth.  Note this has been going on longer and is controlled by forces far greater than humans burning fossil fuels.

Here is a summary of what is known as the Earth's Hydrologic Cycle, taken from this blog.  You can do a search of this blog and find much more.
Peter

Jan 24, 2008
It seems a refresher course in the basics of the Earth's hydrologic cycle is in order. First of all, it needs to be understood that there is a finite, or relatively fixed amount of water on or in the Earth. This does not, has not, and can ...



Chilling Report: Earth Loses 300 Billion Tons of Ice Each Year

It is amazing to see because it feels so clearly out of place, but in some spots along Antarctica’s coast you can actually find hints of grass and other plant life—green evidence that in parts of the long-frozen continent the ice is thinning, and fast.
 
But just how much ice is being lost? A new, ten-year study conducted by Bristol University’s Glaciology Centre says that between Antarctica and Greenland, the answer is 300 billion tons a year.
That’s a lot of ice cubes.

In scientific terms, a decade makes for a short study; this one can’t forecast whether this kind of loss will sustain into the future. (Though reasoned experts believe it will and may even accelerate.) But if it continues at this pace, goodbye Miami, Hong Kong, New York City, etc., as well as the homes of hundreds of millions who live on estuaries, deltas, coral atolls and great city river basins around the globe.

The two massive ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica combined—the ice in Antarctica is three miles thick at some places—contain 99.5 percent of the earth’s glacier ice. If it were all to melt (which would admittedly take centuries), sea levels would rise by 500 to 600 feet.
I’ve been to Antarctica on a couple dozen different trips, mostly along it’s long, skinny Peninsula, which because it is surrounded by warming ocean on both sides is the area most-impacted by the planet’s changing climate. It’s there each austral summer that more shorelines are exposed thanks to disappearing ice, and where you find hints of plant life. (How did the seeds get there? Most likely hitchhiking on fishing boats and visiting tourist ships, both growing in numbers.)

Another satellite study, conducted over the past 20 years by NASA and the European Space Agency, confirms the Bristol study, reporting that the planet’s ice sheets have melted faster in the last 20 years than in the last 10,000.

According to this study, melting ice from both poles has been responsible for a fifth of the global rise in sea levels since 1992. The rest was caused by the thermal expansion of the warming ocean, the melting of mountain glaciers, small Arctic ice caps and groundwater mining. The share of the polar ice melt, however, is rising and most concerning.

When it comes to Antarctica, though, it can be tricky to generalize. It is a huge continent; the U.S. could easily fit inside its borders. In the huge area of East Antarctica, where the ice is mostly above sea level, the air temperature is also much lower, and the experts do not expect the ice to melt on account of rising temperatures. In this part of Antarctica, the ice sheet is actually growing as a consequence of increased snowfall.

But today, using a variety of satellite reports and on-the-ice studies that have been going on for many decades, even conservative scientists say sea levels are rising 60 percent faster than what the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicted in 2007.

Monday, April 30, 2007

North Atlantic Sediments....yet more

Here is yet another article demonstrating global warming and cooling going on long before man's usage of coal and oil.
Peter


Science 17 February 1995:Vol. 267. no. 5200, pp. 1005 - 1010DOI: 10.1126/science.267.5200.1005
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Articles
Iceberg Discharges into the North Atlantic on Millennial Time Scales During the Last Glaciation Gerard C. Bond 1 and Rusty Lotti 1
1 Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, USA.
High-resolution studies of North Atlantic deep sea cores demonstrate that prominent increases in iceberg calving recurred at intervals of 2000 to 3000 years, much more frequently than the 7000-to 10,000-year pacing of massive ice discharges associated with Heinrich events. The calving cycles correlate with warm-cold oscillations, called Dansgaard-Oeschger events, in Greenland ice cores. Each cycle records synchronous discharges of ice from different sources, and the cycles are decoupled from sea-surface temperatures. These findings point to a mechanism operating within the atmosphere that caused rapid oscillations in air temperatures above Greenland and in calving from more than one ice sheet.
Submitted on October 17, 1994Accepted on December 28, 1994

THIS ARTICLE HAS BEEN CITED BY OTHER ARTICLES:
Signatures of rapid climatic changes in organic matter records in the western Mediterranean Sea during the last glacial period.
F. Baudin, N. Combourieu-Nebout, and R. Zahn (2007)Bulletin de la Societe Geologique de France 178, 3-13 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »
Near-synchronous interhemispheric termination of the last glacial maximum in mid-latitudes..
J. M. Schaefer, G. H. Denton, D. J. A. Barrell, S. Ivy-Ochs, P. W. Kubik, B. G. Andersen, F. M. Phillips, T. V. Lowell, and C. Schluchter (2006)Science 312, 1510-1513 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »
Transgressive oversized radial ooid facies in the Late Jurassic Adriatic Platform interior: Low-energy precipitates from highly supersaturated hypersaline waters.
A. Husinec and J. F. Read (2006)GSA Bulletin 118, 550-556 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »
The last deglaciation of the southeastern sector of the Scandinavian ice sheet..
V. R. Rinterknecht, P. U. Clark, G. M. Raisbeck, F. Yiou, A. Bitinas, E. J. Brook, L. Marks, V. Zelcs, J.-P. Lunkka, I. E. Pavlovskaya, J. A. Piotrowski, and A. Raukas (2006)Science 311, 1449-1452 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »
Glacial-Marine or Subglacial Origin of Diamicton Units from the Southwest and North Iceland Shelf: Implications for the Glacial History of Iceland.
S. M. Principato, A. E. Jennings, G. B. Kristjansdottir, and J. T. Andrews (2005)Journal of Sedimentary Research 75, 968-983 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »
Morphometry of Coccolithus pelagicus s.l. (Coccolithophore, Haptophyta) from offshore Portugal, during the last 200 kyr..
A. Parente, M. Cachao, K.-H. Baumann, L. de Abreu, and J. Ferreira (2004)Micropaleontology 50, 107-120 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »
Fine-grained sediment lofting from meltwater-generated turbidity currents during Heinrich events.
(2004)Geology 32, 449-452
Bipolar correlation of volcanism with millennial climate change.
R. C. Bay, N. Bramall, and P. B. Price (2004)PNAS 101, 6341-6345 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »
Does the Trigger for Abrupt Climate Change Reside in the Ocean or in the Atmosphere?.
W. S. Broecker (2003)Science 300, 1519-1522 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »
Catastrophic arid episodes in the Eastern Mediterranean linked with the North Atlantic Heinrich events.
(2003)Geology 31, 439-442
Interplay between tectonics and glacio-eustasy: Pleistocene succession of the Crotone basin, Calabria (southern Italy).
(2002)GSA Bulletin 114, 1183-1209
Enhanced aridity and atmospheric high-pressure stability over the western Mediterranean during the North Atlantic cold events of the past 50 k.y..
(2002)Geology 30, 863-866
Ocean circulation and iceberg discharge in the glacial North Atlantic: Inferences from unmixing of sediment size distributions.
(2002)Geology 30, 555-558
Widespread evidence of 1500 yr climate variability in North America during the past 14 000 yr.
(2002)Geology 30, 455-458
Calving glaciers.
C. J. van der Veen (2002)Progress in Physical Geography 26, 96-122 Abstract » PDF »
Late Pleistocene glacially-influenced deep-marine sedimentation off NW Britain: implications for the rock record.
S. Davison and M. S. Stoker (2002)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 203, 129-147 Abstract » PDF »
Grain-size characteristics and provenance of ice-proximal glacial marine sediments.
J. T. Andrews and S. M. Principato (2002)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 203, 305-324 Abstract » PDF »
Millennial and sub-millennial-scale variability in sediment colour from the Barra Fan, NW Scotland: implications for British ice sheet dynamics.
L. J. Wilson and W. E. N. Austin (2002)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 203, 349-365 Abstract » PDF »
Glacier-influenced sedimentation on high-latitude continental margins: introduction and overview.
J. A. Dowdeswell and C. O Cofaigh (2002)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 203, 1-9 Abstract » PDF »
Diatom-based conductivity reconstruction and palaeoclimatic interpretation of a 40-ka record from Lake Zeribar, Iran.
J. A. Snyder, J. A. Snyder, K. Wasylik, S. C. Fritz, and H. E. Wright Jr (2001)The Holocene 11, 737-745 Abstract » PDF »
Timing of Millennial-Scale Climate Change in Antarctica and Greenland During the Last Glacial Period.
T. Blunier and E. J. Brook (2001)Science 291, 109-112 Abstract » Full Text »
Modulation and amplification of climatic changes in the Northern Hemisphere by the Indian summer monsoon during the past 80 k.y.
(2001)Geology 29, 63-66
Hydrological Impact of Heinrich Events in the Subtropical Northeast Atlantic.
E. Bard, F. Rostek, J.-L. Turon, and S. Gendreau (2000)Science 289, 1321-1324 Abstract » Full Text »
Millennial-Scale Instability of the Antarctic Ice Sheet During the Last Glaciation.
S. L. Kanfoush, D. A. Hodell, C. D. Charles, T. P. Guilderson, P. G. Mortyn, and U. S. Ninnemann (2000)Science 288, 1815-1819 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »
Century- to millennial-scale sedimentological-geochemical records of glacial-Holocene sediment variations from the Barra Fan (NE Atlantic).
D. Kroon, D. KROON, G. SHIMMIELD, W. E. N. AUSTIN, S. DERRICK, P. KNUTZ, and T. SHIMMIELD (2000)Journal of the Geological Society 157, 643-653 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »
Were the North Atlantic Heinrich events triggered by the behavior of the European ice sheets?.
(2000)Geology 28, 123-126
Seismic stratigraphy of the Gulf of Cadiz continental shelf: a model for Late Quaternary very high-resolution sequence stratigraphy and response to sea-level fall.
F. J. Hernandez-Molina, L. Somoza, and F. Lobo (2000)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 172, 329-362 Abstract » PDF »
Abrupt Climate Change at the End of the Last Glacial Period Inferred from Trapped Air in Polar Ice.
J. P. Severinghaus and E. J. Brook (1999)Science 286, 930-934 Abstract » Full Text »
Late-Holocene climate in central West Greenland: meteorological data and rock-glacier isotope evidence.
O. Humlum and O. Humlum (1999)The Holocene 9, 581-594 Abstract » PDF »
A Mid-European Decadal Isotope-Climate Record from 15,500 to 5000 Years B.P..
U. v. Grafenstein, H. Erlenkeuser, A. Brauer, J. Jouzel, and S. J. Johnsen (1999)Science 284, 1654-1657 Abstract » Full Text »
Sudden climate transitions during the Quaternary.
J. Adams, M. Maslin, and E. Thomas (1999)Progress in Physical Geography 23, 1-36 Abstract » PDF »
Ice-flow stages and glacial bedforms in north central Ireland: a record of rapid environmental change during the last glacial termination.
A. M. McCABE, J. KNIGHT, and S. G. McCARRON (1999)Journal of the Geological Society 156, 63-72 Abstract » PDF »
Early-Holocene aridity in tropical northern Australia.
J. Nott, E. Bryant, and D. Price (1999)The Holocene 9, 231-236 Abstract » PDF »
Abrupt Climate Events 500,000 to 340,000 Years Ago: Evidence from Subpolar North Atlantic Sediments.
D. W. Oppo, J. F. McManus, and J. L. Cullen (1998)Science 279, 1335-1338 Abstract » Full Text »
Cyclic sedimentation on the Faeroe Drift 53-10 ka BP related to climatic variations.
T. L. Rasmussen, E. Thomsen, and T. C. E. Van Weering (1998)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 129, 255-267 Abstract » PDF »
Natural gas hydrates: searching for the long-term climatic and slope-stability records.
B. U. Haq (1998)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 137, 303-318 Abstract » PDF »
Thermohaline Circulation, the Achilles Heel of Our Climate System: Will Man-Made CO2 Upset the Current Balance?.
W. S. Broecker (1997)Science 278, 1582-1588 Abstract » Full Text »
A Pervasive Millennial-Scale Cycle in North Atlantic Holocene and Glacial Climates.
G. Bond, W. Showers, M. Cheseby, R. Lotti, P. Almasi, P. deMenocal, P. Priore, H. Cullen, I. Hajdas, and G. Bonani (1997)Science 278, 1257-1266 Abstract » Full Text »
Dating and rhythmicity from the last deglacial cycle in the British Isles.
A. M. McCABE (1996)Journal of the Geological Society 153, 499-502 Abstract » PDF »
Response: Testing for Bias in the Climate Record.
D. J. Thomson (1996)Science 271, 1881-1883 PDF »
Abrupt changes in marine conditions, Sunneshine Fiord, eastern Baffin Island, NWT during the last deglacial transition: Younger Dryas and H-0 events.
J. T. Andrews, L. E. Osterman, A. E. Jennings, J. P. M. Syvitski, G. H. Miller, and N. Weiner (1996)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 111, 11-27 Abstract » PDF »
Shelf erosion and glacial ice proximity in the Labrador Sea during and after Heinrich events (H-3 or 4 to H-0) as shown by foraminifera.
A. E. Jennings, K. A. Tedesco, J. T. Andrews, and M. E. Kirby (1996)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 111, 29-49 Abstract » PDF »
Deglaciation of the inner Scotian Shelf, Nova Scotia: correlation of terrestrial and marine glacial events.
R. R. Stea, R. Boyd, O. Costello, G. B. J. Fader, and D. B. Scott (1996)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 111, 77-101 Abstract » PDF »
Rock (mineral)-magnetic properties of post-glacial (16-0.5 ka) sediments from the Emerald Basin (Scotian Shelf), Canada.
F. R. Hall and S. J. Reed (1996)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 111, 103-115 Abstract » PDF »
Late Quaternary glacial history and short-term ice-rafted debris fluctuations along the East Greenland continental margin.
R. Stein, S.-i. Nam, H. Grobe, and H. Hubberten (1996)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 111, 135-151 Abstract » PDF »
Late glacial air temperature, oceanographic and ice sheet interactions in the southern Barents Sea region.
T. O. Vorren and J. S. Laberg (1996)Geological Society, London, Special Publications 111, 303-321 Abstract » PDF »
Interhemispheric Correlation of Late Pleistocene Glacial Events.
T. V. Lowell, T. V. Lowell, C. J. Heusser, B. G. Andersen, P. I. Moreno, A. Hauser, L. E. Heusser, C. Schluchter, D. R. Marchant, and G. H. Denton (1995)Science 269, 1541-1549 Abstract » PDF »
The Seasons, Global Temperature, and Precession.
D. J. Thomson (1995)Science 268, 59-68 Abstract » PDF »
Instability of Glacial Climate in a Model of the Ocean- Atmosphere-Cryosphere System.
A. Schmittner, M. Yoshimori, and A. J. Weaver (2002)Science 295, 1489-1493 Abstract » Full Text » PDF »

Tuesday, March 20, 2007

Global Cooling? It has happened before

The Earth has obviously gone through countless, remarkable periods of both warming and cooling. What should give us pause for thought is these occurred long before man began burning lots of fossil fuels and adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. We're not even really sure warming is even occuring and there are obviously factors at work other than man and our pathetically minor input of carbon dioxide.

From a friend, here is a summary from a presentation on the television History Channel about the affects of what is now known as "The Little Ice Age".


A gem off the History Channel this morning.

Consequences of the
Little Ice Age.
It began in the 1300s, wiped out the Vikings in Greenland,
defeated the Spanish Armada, keeping England English, spread potatoes across
Europe, won our Independence, defeated Napoleon, started our westward migration, and created Frankenstein.
It was believed triggered by an increased incidence of Krakatoa-scale volcanic eruptions: 5 per century as compared to the usual 1 per century. And on top of
this: 5.April 1815 came the explosion of Mt Tambora
on Sumbawa, Indonesia. 36 cubic miles of debris were sent up to 15 miles
into the stratosphere. This is 100x the ash of St Helens.
A dusty fog hung all summer over N. Europe. It snowed. In Hungary the snow was brown. Agricultural resources already devastated by Napolean's march into Russia were ruined by the cold. People starved.
As the "year without summer" began in 1816, Percy Shelley, his 19yr old wife Mary, and their friend Lord Byron, went on vacation to Lake Geneva. But it was too cold and grim to go outside. So the three decided to amuse themselves indoors w/ a
contest to see who could write the scariest story.
Mary won.

The potato was brought to Europe from the new world by early Spanish
explorers. But it was culturally out of whack with traditional staples and
was quickly opposed by the clergy who called potatoes the "devil's crop". People starved when crops failed but potatoes were still avoided.
Then came the 30 Years War. A traditional strategy of warfare in
those days was the burning of crops. This destroyed surface crops like the
grains. But potatoes live underground out of touch of burning, and
freezing. Hence, thanks to the 30 Years War, potatoes
finally became accepted as a staple in Europe.

One consequence of global warming is global cooling, considered the bigger threat to survival since it wipes out food supply. The warming causes the cooling owing to glacial snow melt changing ocean salinity which interrupts temperature conveyor currents that currently keep the northern latitudes warm.
Pentagon commissioned a study of the coming ice age scenario. This is raising concern about threats to world order. It is based upon an actual catastrophic temperature change of 802 yrs ago that created anarchy worldwide and changed history. Temp dropped 9 degrees in one year. Rivers froze, crops failed, people starved, nations were drained of resources. Breakdown of societies resulted.
Skirmishes, civil wars, and invasions broke out over resources and water.
This time around it will be worse.
Pentagon is interested to determine how the destabilization will play out and what role the U.S. will have in maintaining world order during the chaos. Likely the U.S. will be soley responsible and plans need be on the shelf.
China a volatile flashpoint. By the scenario, civil war erupts. Chinese Army threatens to invade Russia for it's gas. There will be virtual full scale civil invasion of the U.S. from Latin America. U.S. Navy heads for Gulf to protect Saudi oil resources.

It is not yet clear whether we are going into hyperwarming or hyper cooling. Arguments still out. Behooves to be more cautious w/ possible human influences on global environment