Do we have a climatic crisis facing us, or not. What do you think?
Peter
from: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/17889856/
Climate report maps out ‘highway to extinction’
Dire predictions includes loss of species, increasing scarcity of water
Dire predictions includes loss of species, increasing scarcity of water
Animal and plant species have begun dying off or changing sooner than predicted because of global warming, a review of hundreds of research studies contends. Biologist Camille Parmesan of the University of Texas said she worries most about cold-adapted species, such as polar bears, which are dropping in numbers and weight in the Arctic.
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WASHINGTON - A key element of the second major report on climate change being released Friday in Belgium is a chart that maps out the effects of global warming with every degree of temperature rise, most of them bad.
There’s one bright spot: A minimal heat rise means more food production in northern regions of the world.
However, the number of species going extinct rises with the heat, as does the number of people who may starve, or face water shortages, or floods, according to the projections in the draft report obtained by The Associated Press
Some scientists are calling this degree-by-degree projection a “highway to extinction.”
It’s likely to be the source of sharp closed-door debate, some scientists say, along with a multitude of other issues in the 20-chapter draft report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (IPCC) While the wording in the draft is almost guaranteed to change at this week’s meeting in Brussels, several scientists say the focus won’t.
The final document will be the product of a United Nations network of 2,000 scientists as authors and reviewers, along with representatives of more than 120 governments as last-minute editors. It will be the second of a four-volume authoritative assessment of Earth’s climate released this year. The last such effort was in 2001.
University of Victoria climate scientist Andrew Weaver said the chart of results from various temperature levels is “a highway to extinction, but on this highway there are many turnoffs. This is showing you where the road is heading. The road is heading toward extinction.”
Weaver is one of the lead authors of the first report, issued in February.
While humanity will survive, hundreds of millions, maybe billions of people may not, according to the chart—if the worst scenarios happens.
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Changed climate, challenged species
‘Major extinctions around the globe’The report says global warming has already degraded conditions for many species, coastal areas and poor people. With a more than 90 percent level of confidence, the scientists in the draft report say man-made global warming “over the last three decades has had a discernible influence on many physical and biological systems.”
But as the world’s average temperature warms from 1990 levels, the projections get more dire. Add 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit -- 1 degree Celsius is the calculation scientists use—and between 400 million and 1.7 billion extra people can’t get enough water, some infectious diseases and allergenic pollens rise, and some amphibians go extinct. But the world’s food supply, especially in northern areas, could increase. That’s the likely outcome around 2020, according to the draft.
Add another 1.8 degrees and as many as 2 billion people could be without water and about 20 percent to 30 percent of the world’s species near extinction. Also, more people start dying because of malnutrition, disease, heat waves, floods and droughts—all caused by global warming. That would happen around 2050, depending on the level of greenhouse gases from the burning of fossil fuels.
At the extreme end of the projections, a 7- to 9-degree average temperature increase, the chart predicts: “Up to one-fifth of the world population affected by increased flood events ... “1.1 to 3.2 billion people with increased water scarcity” ...”major extinctions around the globe.”
2 comments:
The author of this article, Seth Borenstein, an award-winning journalist, has written very many similar articles over the last few years. Most of them have been filled with the same type of sensationalism. It seems obvious he is a strong supporter of the man-made global warming persuasion. I don't doubt the accuracy of his sources, but with so many varying sources available, it's easy to cherry-pick your data to fit your agenda.
Do you mean the author of the article on MSNBC is Seth Borenstein? The article just repeats what is given to the Associated Press in the form of a news release by the UN. They only give out the "information" they want published. The final UN report is not even done yet and people are already jumping to conclusions. Typical but effective propaganda.
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